I'm still learning about the creme, splash, frame, and sabiano genetics, but what are the odds of getting a smokey black with a bay? Also, with solid paint breds are there any chances of getting paint markings with a qh? I figure that it's not very possible?
For a solid horse it would need to be bred with a homozygous paint. You will know for sure you will get a paint coloring. As for the smoky black all I know is if you bred the bay to a grullo homozygous for black and dun then you have a higher chance of getting grullo or bay dun. Google the horse color calculator
And you can figure out possible foal colors.