[quote] Breeders (who investigations have shown are the primary sources for slaughter horses)
Do you mean horses sent *directly* from the breeder's farm to slaughter? Otherwise that statement doesn't have a lot of meaning, because the only two sources of horses would be breeders and feral horses. Whose investigation?
I agree that overbreeding is a big part of the current problem, and that racing and certain types of show breeding are the worse offenders, becuase it is acceptable to put 10 foals on the ground to get one winner, and everyone focuses on the winner, not the the 9 that will have to find other homes and careers.
But I don't agree with your hypothesis about the role the American slaughter facilities, or slaughter in general, plays in the equation of the current glut of horses at the bottom or the market or the market itself.
FWIW, I'm having an equally difficult time understanding your logic also. I'm applying proven (basic) economic principles here, not some 'hypothesis.' What IS a hypothesis that defies proven economic theory, is that moving the slaughter plants killed the horse market. The demand for US horses for slaughter remained constant. As a rule, you can't attribute something that remained constant as the agent of a changed result. And denial of a massive economic downturn and its devastating effects on the horse market doesn't help slaughter pushers' credibility either.
It took many breeders several years of poor demand, caused by the economic downturn, to scale back breeding sufficiently, and they're breeding too many horses for the market to sustain. Decreases in AQHA new foal regs (QH breeders being the worst offenders in breeding horses where there's no demand) are running about -12% each year from the previous year. Can you imagine if home builders only cut back 10% each year?? It doesn't help that AQHA encourages overbreeding with their policies and incentives, but many breeders continued thinking they could cut their losses using the meat option, not understanding that with the increased supply of and reduced demand for horses, that meat prices would fall also.
And this isn't a hypothesis. I heard many breeders admit to using slaughter for culling on equine forums.
Animals Angels went to auctions around the country and observed the horses being brought to auction and who the owners were. They saw lots of loads dumping off 10 to 15 young horses, almost always QHs and paints. And lots of TB trainers bringing their horses and often making deals with KBs right in the parking lot (and not running them thru the auction). Also, lots of nice trailers and rigs dumping off these horses.