Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Alberta, Canada
I agreed its not terrible accurate. There are many variables not taken into account.
A few I personally know the history of, all with similar bloodlines. Of those
Started at 2;
-1 mare, came up sore.
-1 mare vets couldnt pin point the reason, but she stopped performing well, likely pain related. Pulled off the track at 4 when she came up actually sore. Trail ridden since, came up lame as a 6 year old, requiring 6 months off. On and off back soreness issues. Both parents sound, dam an winning endurance horse.
-1 mare, mentally too immature, brought back after a short time, never returned.
-1 mare did decent as a two year old and wouldnt run after that.
-1 mare, broke left front cannon after a couple races as a two year old.
-1 gelding, slab fractures in his right knee by 3,
-1 stallion, raced lightly at 2, very successful as a three year old, carreer ending sessamoid fracture at the end of that season.
Started at 3;
-gelding, raced successfully as a three year old and four year old, awesome mind, headed back as a 5 year old this summer.
Its very possible that I've just had very unusuall personal experiences and in reality they all are better off being started younger, but somehow I don't think so.