, please let us know how the horse thing works out, and I'd love to se a screen shot of the satellite image of the place you chose.
In reference to the huge spike in Spain, both last week and the week before we had excellent weather here in central Spain, so lots of people were out on the streets, in the parks and in outdoor cafés. That timeframe aligns with the spike in infections we are seeing now. Be that as it may, I am convinced that public trasportation and children/youth in schools had a lot more to do with the contagion.
Currently, in Spain we are witnessing comparisons being made with Germany, which has an extremely low death rate. I would like to give a few words of caution on interpreting such data:
1) Without a standardized international data registry (the WHO should be doing this
), it is IMPOSSIBLE to make unbiased comparisons at this time.
2) Countries who are testing on a larger scale (like Germany) will always have lower death rates, because their number of "infected" patients includes asymptomatic and mild cases. This is only possible in the initial stages of the pandemic, and this was not done in Spain or Italy.
3) Countries who are already witnessing a spike in their curve (Spain, Italy currently) are not testing everyone. They are ONLY TESTING HOSPITALIZED PATIENTS
, who are the most critical.
4) As there is no standardized registry of data, some countries are reporting COVID19 deaths to include ANY death (all-cause deaths) with C19 infection (Spain, for example). Other countries are reporting COVID19 deaths as only those patients who had no comorbidities or were not previously hospitalized, so that COVID19 was the ONLY cause of death.
Having said that, it is also important to look at the number of hospital beds per capita per country.
Germany: 8.3 per 100 inhabitants
United States: 2.9/100
I think that data is quite clear. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator....ZS?view=chart
Equally clear is the number of physicians per capita (again, Germany up front and US at the end https://data.worldbank.org/indicator....ZS?view=chart
However, where the US is in the lead is in the number of critical care beds per 100,000 inhabitants, and that is where the US has an advantage for saving more C-19 pandemic patients:
US: 34.7 ICU beds / 100,000 inhabitants
Lastly, let's not forget that data reporting is also tainted by politics. I'm not pointing any fingers here - this is across the board and seen in all countries, making it essential for an unbiased entity like the WHO to provide an anonymous data registry where doctors/departments can report their data, without going through government channels.
(This is a typical practice in the treatment of many diseases, and I find it inexplicable that it is not being done for this pandemic. Baffling.)