Daily Mail - not the most reputable source - has 1,271 deaths / 85,381 tested positive. That is 1.49% but still unhelpful since some of those currently diagnosed WILL die in the future. That would drive the number up while a bigger denominator (we obviously don't know of all cases) would drive it down. We'd need a denominator of a million to drive it down to 0.12% and I really doubt the denominator is that high. Seems obvious it is worse than the flu, but probably not as bad as the WHO originally predicted. But a denominator of 170,000 would drive it to 0.75%.....
On a slightly positive note, the guy I know who has it (and a lot of complicating conditions) was briefly pulled off the respirator. It didn't go as well as hoped so they put him back on. But he had improved enough that they tried taking him off. No one is recommending optimism. Still a tough row to hoe ahead! True for him and true of the world.
Yes, it seems I added an extra zero by mistake, so using
's numbers 1,000/68,000 = 1.5% (.015). I had seen similar numbers but accidentally added another zero to the 68,000. Wishful thinking I guess.
Good to hear your friend has trialed getting off the ventilator,
. Hopefully he will be successful on his next attempt. Even trying can be helpful, since it can give the respiratory muscles some exercise for the next day or attempt.
Honestly not trying to be stubborn or "Polyanna," but I just don't think we have enough info to know if this is worse than the flu or not yet in the US
. It may well be worse than the flu in other countries.
We just have not done enough tests to know. Possibly it is more deadly than the flu, a lot more deadly than most coronaviruses and less deadly than the SARS coronavirus.
When we have rapid coronavirus tests, we will know a lot more because we can test a lot more people.
For example, in my hospital we are testing very few people. Anyone who could have another reason for their illness will not be tested. Meanwhile, we test everyone with any symptom for the flu. We have had another person die from the flu in the past couple of weeks, and also a very sick one that might die tonight.
Around 600,000 covid tests in the U.S. so far. Meanwhile, every doctor's office can test for flu, and normally well over a million tests are run yearly (a couple years ago, around 1.2 million).
Influenza viruses cause a substantial burden of illness each year in the United States, estimated at 9.2–35.6 million cases of infection, 4.3–16.7 million clinic visits, 140,000–710,000 hospitalizations, and 12,000–56,000 deaths.
I highly suspect the number of cases with a disease that seems as highly contagious as the flu must be much higher than what test results have shown us so far.
It is my opinion that if the news tracked the flu cases in the same way they are tracking the Covid, people would be as worried and panicked about the flu. Imagine when they told us the deaths for the year had gone over 30,000, or how many people were on ventilators, or when the infection rate reached 15 million. Yet we do not care about it. Not really. To me it seems somewhat selective to be so worried about this new virus and not about the flu.
But it does make me wonder if the world is now going to have an issue over every new outbreak of disease. I am hopeful that will not be the case. Something I think about is that we know social isolation is unhealthy if it goes on for very long. Some people have families but some do not. My M-I-L ended up isolating herself at home due to mental illness and it made her illness much worse. She is in a nursing home now and doing much better. She is funny though, her reason for isolating herself was fear of chemicals, and she is irrationally not worried about catching any disease but is quite worried about the chemicals that will be used by staff at the nursing home, in particular she has a fear of hand sanitizer. The staff have to lie and tell her they do not use it around her.
Another one I thought was funny was that DH's grandmother called me yesterday, she is in her 90s and she wanted to talk to a nurse. She said she had heard she should not get together with her friends and should wash her hands, and she wanted to know if that was true. Somehow she was just now hearing about all of this, even though she does have a TV. Luckily she only has been going to the grocery store across the road recently.
Back to horses, I did something stupid yesterday. Hero was being a little wild and hopping around, rearing on the lead. I let him loose to run 100 yards or so toward the barn, which I do sometimes and really shouldn't. He always stays near the herd, and the barn is quite far from roads, but you never know. Anyway, he ran over to another gelding's pen, spun around and kicked the metal gate super hard. Then he started lifting and shaking that leg for a while, and favoring it. I worried he might have damaged something, but he was walking on it somewhat OK when I left. Today he seemed normal, so maybe such a hard kick just made the bones or joints sore. I'll have to avoid letting him right next to those geldings he wants to mess with.
He has been his usual crazy and goofy self most of the time but very mellow under saddle lately, so that's great. I've been trying to reinforce that idea with lots of relaxed walking.
I'm experimenting with filling the tiny cracks in Amore's hooves where I suspect some WLD is hiding with No Thrush powder. I've been scrubbing the hooves, then when it wasn't satisfying me that I was getting in the cracks I was using Vetericyn. I could go through a $30 spray bottle in a few days so decided I better try the No Thrush. I believe it is not rough on live tissue like the Thrush Buster and some others might be. I was trying Thrush Buster but the cracks did not seem to be filling in.