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I think you’ll be fine on whatever.

ETA- I’m 5’7” 127#s and my main horse is 16.3hh and around 1500#s.

My youngest daughter is 5’10” 150#s, and her horse is 14hh and probably 850#s.

Both hold up just fine and work good for us. I think too much emphasis is put on size.
 
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I’ve never been around a welsh, so I can’t really answer with any confidence. I’m sure someone else has though. If he were one of the breeds I know I would say you’d be fine.
 
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