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I like your guess. I do see draft in him, for sure.

IT's distantly possible that he is a mustang/draft cross, too. There were some draft stallions released into wild horse herds back in the 20's or earlier to help breed "free" farm horses of a good draft type. I think in particular in the Oregon herds, but please correct me if I am wrong on that.
 

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I see a lot of draft hints; the shape of his hooves, the feathering on the fetlock, the long nose, the way he is very short coupled, his neck which is pretty short and his big shoulder.
 
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